← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Sep 26, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 39% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Pisa win | 30% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Reggiana −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.63 |
| Over | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 38' | 🟨 | Edoardo Pieragnolo · Reggiana |
| 56' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bianco · Reggiana |
| 59' | 🟨 | Roko Jureškin · Pisa |
| 63' | 🟨 | Elvis Kabashi · Reggiana |
| 64' | 🟨 | Domen Črnigoj · Reggiana |
| 78' | 🟨 | Stefano Moreo · Pisa |
| 83' | 🟨 | Idrissa Touré · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 117.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1377.97 | 1494.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.08 | 6.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 3.18 | 3.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.52 | 27.59 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |