← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Sep 26, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 40% | 2.49 |
| Palermo win | 31% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 12' | 🟨 | Gianluca Busio · Venezia FC |
| 32' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · Palermo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Claudio Gomes · Palermo |
| 45' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 62' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 329.00 | 421.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1527.57 | 1532.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.80 | 19.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | — |
| league points | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 3.27 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 28.16 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |