← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Sep 26, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Collu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Cosenza win | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cosenza +0.25 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Luigi Canotto · Cosenza |
| 1' | 🟨 | Luka Lochoshvili · Cremonese |
| 31' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fontanarosa · Cosenza |
| 61' | ⚽ | Michele Collocolo · Cremonese |
| 63' | ⚽ | Simone Mazzocchi · Cosenza |
| 79' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 87.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1422.34 | 1521.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.93 | -13.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 1.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.73 |
| league points | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 3.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.67 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 12.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 22.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.10 | 28.08 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |