← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Sep 24, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Di Bello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Como 1907 win | 28% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
| 32' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 50' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 53' | 🟨 | Federico Giraudo · Cittadella |
| 71' | 🟨 | Cas Odenthal · Como 1907 |
| 77' | 🟨 | Federico Barba · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 815.00 | 388.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1463.38 | 1469.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.88 | 3.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 5.82 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.18 | 26.41 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |