← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Sep 24, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Mariani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Catanzaro win | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Bari −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Ilias Koutsoupias · Bari |
| 30' | ⚽ | Dimitrios Sounas · Catanzaro |
| 45' | ⚽ | Luca Verna · Catanzaro |
| 54' | 🟨 | Davide Veroli · Catanzaro |
| 57' | ⚽ | Ilias Koutsoupias · Bari |
| 77' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Bari |
| 81' | 🟨 | Kevin Miranda · Catanzaro |
| 83' | 🟨 | Andrea Ghion · Catanzaro |
| 83' | 🟨 | Kevin Miranda · Catanzaro |
| 83' | 🟥 | Kevin Miranda · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 815.00 | 692.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1566.82 | 1310.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.98 | 52.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.93 | 0.64 |
| league points | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.31 | 28.50 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |