← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Sep 23, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
| Reggiana win | 21% | 4.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Spezia −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Dimitris Nikolaou · Spezia |
| 35' | 🟨 | Edoardo Pieragnolo · Reggiana |
| 37' | 🟨 | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 40' | 🟨 | Filippo Bandinelli · Spezia |
| 50' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 71' | 🟨 | Janis Antiste · Reggiana |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mario Sampirisi · Reggiana |
| 77' | 🟨 | Francesco Bardi · Reggiana |
| 81' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 84' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spezia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Francesco Pio Esposito · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days | 84.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1509.63 | 1362.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -51.28 | -3.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| league points | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.82 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.09 | 27.01 |
| state index | -0.94 | -1.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |