← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Sep 23, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 39% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.07 |
| Feralpisalo win | 30% | 3.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo +0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Pisa +0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Arturo Calabresi · Pisa |
| 26' | 🟨 | Christos Kourfalidis · Feralpisalo |
| 46' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Pisa |
| 54' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Feralpisalo |
| 67' | ⚽ | Simone Canestrelli · Pisa |
| 77' | 🟨 | Semuel Pizzignacco · Feralpisalo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jan Mlakar · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Idrissa Touré · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feralpisalo | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Leonardo Garilli |
| coach days | 814.00 | 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1445.34 | 1484.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -54.66 | -18.88 |
| eye test v1 | -1.17 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| league points | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 27.56 |
| state index | -1.31 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.80 |