← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Sep 23, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Ascoli win | 17% | 6.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.75 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Ascoli −0.75 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 11' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 14' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 25' | ⚽ | Giacomo Manzari · Ascoli |
| 44' | 🟨 | Giacomo Quagliata · Cremonese |
| 60' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 64' | 🟨 | Giacomo Quagliata · Cremonese |
| 64' | 🟥 | Giacomo Quagliata · Cremonese |
| 73' | 🟨 | Brian Bayeye · Ascoli |
| 88' | ⚽ | Pablo Rodríguez · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟥 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 22.00 | 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.69 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1525.27 | 1437.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.62 | -27.56 |
| eye test v1 | 1.56 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| league points | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 23.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.33 | 27.28 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.48 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |