← Serie B 2023 · Mon, Sep 18, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Gualtieri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Cittadella win | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Matteo Ricci · Sampdoria |
| 26' | 🟨 | Federico Giraudo · Cittadella |
| 39' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 43' | ⚽ | Antonino La Gumina · Sampdoria |
| 49' | ⚽ | Andrea Magrassi · Cittadella |
| 66' | ⚽ | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 69' | 🟨 | Antonino La Gumina · Sampdoria |
| 77' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Carissoni · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicola Murru · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 109.00 | 809.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1496.28 | 1450.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.28 | 1.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 15.08 | 14.99 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.89 | 27.63 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |