β Serie B 2023 Β· Sun, Sep 17, 02:15 PM UTC Β· ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 32% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 β0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Catanzaro β0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | β½ | Dennis Man Β· Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 23' | π¨ | Woyo Coulibaly Β· Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 24' | π¨ | Stefano Scognamillo Β· Catanzaro |
| 25' | β½ (pen) | Adrian Benedyczak Β· Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 40' | β½ | Adrian Benedyczak Β· Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 45' | π¨ | Nahuel EstΓ©vez Β· Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 47' | β½ | Anthony Partipilo Β· Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 67' | π¨ | Alessandro Circati Β· Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 78' | π¨ | Vasilios Zagaritis Β· Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 84' | β½ | Antonio Δolak Β· Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | β | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 685.00 | 412.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | β | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | β | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | β | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | β | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | β | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | β | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | β | 0.51 |
| elo | 1320.77 | 1566.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 58.73 | 22.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | β | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.75 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.82 |
| league points | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.25 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.50 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 13.91 | 14.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | β |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | β | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | β | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.25 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | β | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 26.19 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | β | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |