← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Sep 16, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Feralpisalo win | 27% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Feralpisalo +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 9' | ⚽ | Davide Balestrero · Feralpisalo |
| 25' | 🟨 | Mattia Felici · Feralpisalo |
| 42' | 🟨 | Davide Balestrero · Feralpisalo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Feralpisalo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Shady Oukhadda · Modena |
| 66' | 🟨 | Mattia Felici · Feralpisalo |
| 66' | 🟥 | Mattia Felici · Feralpisalo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Modena |
| 88' | 🟨 | Antonio Pergreffi · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Palumbo · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feralpisalo | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | — | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Leonardo Garilli |
| coach days | 807.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.55 |
| elo | 1446.32 | 1472.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | — | 36.39 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.75 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | — | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | — | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | — |
| league points | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 13.81 | 13.81 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.75 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 28.06 |
| state index | -0.72 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.20 |