← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Sep 16, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Abisso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.90 |
| Bari win | 26% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Bari −0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Gennaro Acampora · Bari |
| 12' | ⚽ | Pietro Beruatto · Pisa |
| 45' | 🟨 | Maxime Leverbe · Pisa |
| 64' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 78' | 🟨 | Ádám Nagy · Pisa |
| 81' | 🟨 | Akpa Chukwu Hemsley · Bari |
| 85' | ⚽ | Akpa Chukwu Hemsley · Bari |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ádám Nagy · Pisa |
| 89' | 🟥 | Ádám Nagy · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 77.00 | 807.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1483.62 | 1567.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.07 | -12.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| league points | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 13.81 | 12.81 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 27.42 | 25.95 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |