← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Sep 3, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Maresca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Cosenza win | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 6' | 🟨 | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 53' | ⚽ | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 60' | 🟨 | Alessandro Arioli · Cosenza |
| 63' | 🟨 | Giacomo Olzer · Brescia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
| 76' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Cosenza |
| 76' | 🟥 | Filippo Sgarbi · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 214.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1419.00 | 1412.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.05 | 22.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.66 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 4.82 |
| season ppg | — | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.24 | 26.75 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |