← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Sep 2, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 42% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Ascoli win | 26% | 3.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Samuel Giovane · Ascoli |
| 44' | ⚽ | Pedro Mendes · Ascoli |
| 53' | ⚽ | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
| 59' | 🟨 | Fabian Tait · Sudtirol |
| 63' | 🟨 | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 64' | ⚽ | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
| 67' | 🟨 | Vincenzo Millico · Ascoli |
| 82' | 🟨 | Eric Botteghin · Ascoli |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 397.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 3.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1553.45 | 1454.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.43 | -22.89 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.80 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.64 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 3.92 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.78 | 27.65 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |