← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Sep 2, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Pisa win | 28% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Modena −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Luca Tremolada · Modena |
| 34' | 🟥 | Hjörtur Hermannsson · Pisa |
| 43' | 🟨 | Pietro Beruatto · Pisa |
| 52' | 🟨 | Antonio Palumbo · Modena |
| 66' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zaro · Modena |
| 86' | 🟨 | Gaetano Masucci · Pisa |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 93.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1458.22 | 1497.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.82 | -19.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 3.92 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.74 | 27.98 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |