← Serie B 2023 · Wed, Aug 30, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Zufferli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 38% | 2.65 |
| Catanzaro win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Catanzaro +0 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Kelvin Amian · Spezia |
| 31' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
| 44' | 🟨 | Filippo Bandinelli · Spezia |
| 52' | ⚽ | Tommaso Biasci · Catanzaro |
| 59' | ⚽ (og) | Dimitris Nikolaou · Catanzaro |
| 73' | ⚽ | Marco Pompetti · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca D'Andrea · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟥 | Andrea Oliveri · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bartłomiej Drągowski · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 667.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.51 |
| elo | 1277.13 | 1559.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.83 | 10.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | — | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.55 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.50 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 10.10 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.30 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.50 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.72 | 25.40 |
| state index | -0.99 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.29 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |