← Serie B 2023 · Wed, Aug 30, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Manganiello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 40% | 2.49 |
| Ternana win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Cremonese +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
| 41' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 49' | 🟨 | Salim Diakité · Ternana |
| 62' | 🟨 | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
| 62' | 🟥 | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
| 65' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | César Falletti · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 272.00 | 241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1376.46 | 1523.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.44 | -15.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 28.05 |
| state index | -1.19 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |