← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Aug 29, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 36% | 2.76 |
| Modena win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Modena +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 18' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 40' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Modena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luca Strizzolo · Modena |
| 49' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fontanarosa · Cosenza |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mattia Viviani · Cosenza |
| 85' | 🟨 | Fabio Abiuso · Modena |
| 87' | ⚽ | Fabio Abiuso · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 59.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1423.56 | 1447.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.08 | -0.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.14 | 27.87 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |