← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Aug 29, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Tremolada
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Reggiana win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Palermo +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Filippo Romagna · Reggiana |
| 7' | ⚽ | Fabio Lucioni · Palermo |
| 27' | 🟨 | Paolo Rozzio · Reggiana |
| 42' | 🟥 | Alessandro Marcandalli · Reggiana |
| 63' | ⚽ | Eric Lanini · Reggiana |
| 71' | ⚽ | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Elvis Kabashi · Reggiana |
| 90' | ⚽ | Edoardo Soleri · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 89.00 | 393.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1364.06 | 1515.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.71 | -1.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.64 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 28.34 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |