← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Aug 29, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Anthony Partipilo · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 14' | ⚽ | Ange-Yoan Bonny · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 17' | 🟨 | Woyo Coulibaly · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 28' | 🟥 | Maxime Leverbe · Pisa |
| 42' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 56' | 🟨 | Woyo Coulibaly · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 56' | 🟥 | Woyo Coulibaly · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Mattia Valoti · Pisa |
| 90' | ⚽ | Antonio Čolak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 59.00 | 393.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1507.88 | 1562.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.88 | 19.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.83 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.88 | 25.56 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |