← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Aug 26, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. La Penna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 44% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| Reggiana win | 27% | 3.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Reggiana −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
| 47' | ⚽ | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
| 54' | ⚽ | Stefano Pettinari · Reggiana |
| 60' | 🟨 | Alessandro Marcandalli · Reggiana |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ben Lhassine Kone · Como 1907 |
| 83' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Como 1907 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marlon Mustapha · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bianco · Reggiana |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Luca Vido · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 359.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1453.91 | 1359.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.04 | -40.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 47.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.35 | 26.60 |
| state index | -0.23 | -1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |