← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Aug 19, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.98 |
| Ascoli win | 33% | 3.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ascoli +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 11' | 🟨 | Patrizio Masini · Ascoli |
| 20' | ⚽ (pen) | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 33' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 36' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 36' | 🟥 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 41' | 🟥 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Federico Zuccon · Cosenza |
| 45' | 🟥 | Francesco Forte · Ascoli |
| 54' | ⚽ | Alessandro Arioli · Cosenza |
| 61' | ⚽ | Massimo Zilli · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 49.00 | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 3.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1401.77 | 1464.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.88 | -6.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.10 | 27.00 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |