← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Aug 19, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 41% | 2.47 |
| Ternana win | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Sampdoria +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Antonino La Gumina · Sampdoria |
| 35' | 🟨 | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mattia Proietti · Ternana |
| 60' | 🟨 | Alessandro Celli · Ternana |
| 77' | ⚽ | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luka Bogdan · Ternana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Valerio Verre · Sampdoria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Filippo Di Stefano · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 261.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.83 | 3.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1396.57 | 1515.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.34 | -6.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.97 | 27.01 |
| state index | -1.08 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |