← Serie B 2023 · Fri, Aug 18, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Maresca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 38% | 2.66 |
| Palermo win | 31% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Palermo +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Ivan Marconi · Palermo |
| 50' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 50' | 🟥 | Mattia Maita · Bari |
| 51' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Sibilli · Bari |
| 64' | 🟨 | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 66' | 🟥 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 67' | 🟨 | Raffaele Maiello · Bari |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Bari |
| 73' | 🟨 | Aljoša Vasić · Palermo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Roberto Insigne · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brenno · Bari |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jérémy Ménez · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 778.00 | 382.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1568.80 | 1512.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.54 | -9.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 26.17 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |