← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Aksu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Karagumruk win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Alanyaspor +0.25 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 257.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Ataturk Olimpiyat |
| -1.20 |
| -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 4.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1430.69 | 1496.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.03 | -17.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 6.88 | 6.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.04 |
| solidity v1 | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.05 |