← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, May 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Ergun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 54% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
| Goztep win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Trabzonspor −0.75 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 427.00 | 913.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Papara Park |
| -2.40 |
| -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1713.06 | 1580.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.79 | -9.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 79.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 35.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -1.11 |
| solidity v1 | 0.92 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.42 | — |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -2.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.92 |