← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Fri, Feb 27, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Yilmaz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 63% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.33 |
| Karagumruk win | 15% | 6.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −1.25 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Trabzonspor −1.25 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 363.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| venue | Papara Park |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1698.46 | 1390.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.83 | -3.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 58.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 5.17 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 2.15 | 0.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | -0.25 |
| solidity v1 | 1.05 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.01 | — |
| state index | 0.80 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.27 |