← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 14, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: H. U. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Trabzonspor win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Trabzonspor +0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.83 |
| Under | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 350.00 | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| venue | Papara Park |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1700.48 | 1813.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.98 | -13.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.81 |
| league points | 55.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.40 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 63.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| solidity v1 | 0.60 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 26.01 | 29.72 |
| state index | 0.98 | 0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.73 | 1.55 |