← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Guldibi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 62% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 23% | 3.90 |
| Karagumruk win | 15% | 6.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −1 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Karagumruk −1 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.60 |
| coach days | 822.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| venue | Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -1.60 |
| -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1661.40 | 1414.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.31 | -20.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.71 |
| league points | 42.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.40 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 0.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.53 | -0.48 |
| solidity v1 | 0.21 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.24 | 27.26 |
| state index | 0.74 | -1.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -3.02 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 0.57 |