← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 22, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: H. U. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 30% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi +0.25 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Trabzonspor +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Dimitris Goutas · Genclerbirligi |
| 7' | 🟨 | Metehan Mimaroğlu · Genclerbirligi |
| 31' | ⚽ | Franco Tongya · Genclerbirligi |
| 45' | 🟨 | Danylo Sikan · Trabzonspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor |
| 50' | ⚽ | Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor |
| 52' | ⚽ | Oğulcan Ülgün · Genclerbirligi |
| 59' | ⚽ | Sekou Koita · Genclerbirligi |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Ernest Muçi · Trabzonspor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Wagner Pina · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadium |
| coach days | 386.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 3.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1434.87 | 1691.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.22 | 28.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 1.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| league points | 19.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 62.60 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 21.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 1.59 |
| solidity v1 | -0.02 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 7.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 9.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.40 |
| squad age | — | 27.16 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.59 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 2.08 |