← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Y. Kol
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.91 |
| Samsunspor win | 25% | 3.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Samsunspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Arda Kurtulan · Goztep |
| 59' | 🟨 | Soner Gönül · Samsunspor |
| 68' | ⚽ | Arda Kurtulan · Goztep |
| 73' | 🟨 | Efkan Bekiroğlu · Goztep |
| 76' | 🟨 | Rick Van Drongelen · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| venue | Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu |
| coach days | 781.00 | 142.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1609.98 | 1551.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.06 | -61.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.63 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.60 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 35.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.23 | 2.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.09 | 0.06 |
| solidity v1 | 0.86 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.64 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.84 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 0.79 |