← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Aydin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Rizespor win | 24% | 4.16 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Rizespor −0.5 | 48% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Kartal Kayra Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 64' | ⚽ | Milot Rashica · Besiktas |
| 79' | 🟨 | Halil Dervişoğlu · Rizespor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Modibo Sagnan · Rizespor |
| 82' | 🟨 | Tiago Djaló · Besiktas |
| 87' | 🟨 | Milot Rashica · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Samet Akaydın · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Tupras Stadium |
| coach days | 353.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1628.75 | 1498.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.19 | -0.82 |
| eye test v1 | 1.49 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.79 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| league points | 31.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | 0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 0.21 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.92 | — |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.64 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.14 | 1.55 |