← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Yilmaz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 67% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.95 |
| Eyupspor win | 14% | 7.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor +1.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Fenerbahce +1.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Anderson Talisca · Fenerbahce |
| 34' | ⚽ | Marco Asensio · Fenerbahce |
| 42' | 🟨 | Emir Ortakaya · Eyupspor |
| 75' | ⚽ | Jhon Durán · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Taşkın Ilter · Eyupspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mert Müldür · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 23 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eyupspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu |
| coach days | 141.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1451.12 | 1817.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.94 | 4.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.81 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| league points | 17.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 4.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 2.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 20.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 1.29 |
| solidity v1 | -0.52 | 1.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.67 |
| state index | -0.41 | 1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.76 | 0.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 2.09 |