← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 19, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Hasova
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.62 |
| Antalyaspor win | 16% | 6.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Antalyaspor −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Hrvoje Smolčić · Kocaelispor |
| 32' | ⚽ | Lautaro Giannetti · Antalyaspor |
| 37' | ⚽ | Tayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Veysel Sarı · Antalyaspor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ramzi Safuri · Antalyaspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Bruno Petković · Kocaelispor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Samuel Ballet · Antalyaspor |
| 79' | 🟨 | Rigoberto Rivas · Kocaelispor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Massadio Haïdara · Kocaelispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kocaelispor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu |
| coach days | 140.00 | 140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1522.02 | 1422.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.34 | -8.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -1.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 44.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 24.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 5.13 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 6.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.79 |
| solidity v1 | 2.22 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| state index | 0.23 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.46 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 0.63 |