← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 14, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Sansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Trabzonspor win | 34% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Trabzonspor +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Emirhan Topçu · Besiktas |
| 6' | 🟨 | Orkun Kökçü · Besiktas |
| 18' | ⚽ | Tammy Abraham · Besiktas |
| 22' | ⚽ | Václav Černý · Besiktas |
| 25' | ⚽ | Ernest Muçi · Trabzonspor |
| 31' | ⚽ | Václav Černý · Besiktas |
| 33' | 🟨 | Mustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor |
| 38' | 🟥 | El Bilal Touré · Besiktas |
| 63' | ⚽ | Christ Inao Oulaï · Trabzonspor |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ersin Destanoğlu · Besiktas |
| 84' | ⚽ | Oleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tiago Djaló · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tammy Abraham · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 34 | Shots | 9 |
| 13 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Papara Park |
| coach days | 288.00 | 347.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1695.20 | 1625.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.07 | 8.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.95 | 1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.87 | 0.73 |
| league points | 41.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.28 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | 0.85 |
| solidity v1 | -0.48 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.10 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.67 | 9.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 27.16 | 28.92 |
| state index | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 1.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.89 | 2.08 |