← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Cihan Aydin, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Gaziantep win | 27% | 3.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Gaziantep +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Kévin Rodrigues · Gaziantep |
| 21' | 🟨 | Janderson · Goztep |
| 37' | 🟨 | Ogün Özçiçek · Gaziantep |
| 58' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Boateng · Gaziantep |
| 69' | ⚽ | Janderson · Goztep |
| 88' | 🟨 | Novatus Miroshi · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Kalyon Stadyumu |
| coach days | 13.00 | 774.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.52 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1534.08 | 1600.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.74 | 22.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.84 |
| league points | 26.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 5.77 | 6.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | -0.87 |
| solidity v1 | -0.65 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 31.06 | — |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.73 | 0.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.29 |