← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Atilla Karaoglan, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Trabzonspor win | 26% | 3.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Trabzonspor −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Novatus Miroshi · Goztep |
| 31' | 🟨 | Héliton · Goztep |
| 43' | 🟨 | Janderson · Goztep |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ozan Tufan · Trabzonspor |
| 46' | ⚽ | Ernest Muçi · Trabzonspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 75' | 🟨 | Rhaldney · Goztep |
| 76' | ⚽ | Ernest Muçi · Trabzonspor |
| 78' | 🟥 | Wagner Pina · Trabzonspor |
| 85' | ⚽ | Anthony Junior Dennis · Goztep |
| 87' | 🟨 | André Onana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 18 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 7 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rhaldney · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟥 | Rhaldney · Goztep |
| coach days | 767.00 | 281.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1609.70 | 1685.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.54 | 29.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| league points | 32.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 7.13 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 2.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | 1.01 |
| solidity v1 | 0.44 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| squad age | — | 27.16 |
| state index | 0.86 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.51 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.52 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.82 |