← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Yasin Kol, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Kayserispor win | 26% | 3.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor −0.25 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Emir Ortakaya · Eyupspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nihad Mujakić · Eyupspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Furkan Soyalp · Kayserispor |
| 51' | ⚽ | Emre Akbaba · Eyupspor |
| 68' | 🟨 | Taras Stepanenko · Eyupspor |
| 70' | ⚽ | László Bénes · Kayserispor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Youssef Aït Bennasser · Kayserispor |
| 83' | 🟨 | László Bénes · Kayserispor |
| 89' | 🟨 | João Mendes · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | João Mendes · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟥 | João Mendes · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eyupspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu |
| coach days |
| 127.00 |
| 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1465.71 | 1489.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.44 | 9.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.62 |
| league points | 16.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -0.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.01 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.17 |