← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Kadir Saglam, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 54% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Alanyaspor win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor −0.5 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Alanyaspor −0.5 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Anthony Musaba · Samsunspor |
| 38' | 🟨 | Emre Kılınç · Samsunspor |
| 44' | 🟨 | Eyüp Aydın · Samsunspor |
| 47' | 🟨 | Ümit Akdağ · Alanyaspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Logi Tomasson · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟥 | Josafat Mendes · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaius Makouta · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Güven Yalçın · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 28 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu |
| coach days | 122.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 3.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1622.06 | 1513.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.14 | -37.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.91 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 25.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 8.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | 0.31 |
| solidity v1 | 1.05 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.82 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.94 | 0.85 |