← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.18 |
| Karagumruk win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Karagumruk +0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | João Camacho · Karagumruk |
| 18' | 🟨 | Matías Kranevitter · Karagumruk |
| 41' | ⚽ | Jota Silva · Besiktas |
| 71' | ⚽ | El Bilal Touré · Besiktas |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 27 |
| 0 | On target | 12 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 90.00 | 333.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1442.01 | 1619.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.92 | 1.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 8.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 8.13 | 7.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | 0.24 |
| solidity v1 | -0.55 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 29.44 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.18 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.71 |