← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Adnan Deniz Kayatepe, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Antalyaspor win | 23% | 4.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Goztep +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Veysel Sarı · Antalyaspor |
| 48' | ⚽ | Taha Altıkardeş · Goztep |
| 52' | ⚽ | Juan Santos da Silva · Goztep |
| 80' | 🟨 | Héliton · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Janderson · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Corendon Airlines Park |
| coach days | 121.00 | 760.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1434.44 | 1602.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.01 | 26.34 |
| eye test v1 | -1.29 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.96 | -0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.80 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.86 |
| league points | 17.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 37.00 |
| rest days | 5.88 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.60 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -1.47 |
| solidity v1 | -0.95 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| state index | -1.06 | 0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -1.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 1.10 |