← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Cihan Aydin, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 51% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Kayserispor win | 24% | 4.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Kayserispor −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Furkan Soyalp · Kayserispor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Modibo Sagnan · Rizespor |
| 57' | ⚽ | László Bénes · Kayserispor |
| 66' | 🟨 | João Mendes · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Halil Dervişoğlu · Rizespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ramazan Civelek · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu |
| coach days | 120.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1494.78 | 1476.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.49 | -2.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 46.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| league points | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 5.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | 0.09 |
| solidity v1 | -1.54 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.09 | 1.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.28 |