← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Cagdas Altay, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Rizespor win | 17% | 6.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor +1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Fenerbahce +1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Ali Sowe · Rizespor |
| 15' | ⚽ | Qazim Laci · Rizespor |
| 47' | 🟨 | Samet Akaydın · Rizespor |
| 52' | 🟨 | İsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahce |
| 54' | ⚽ | Marco Asensio · Fenerbahce |
| 57' | 🟨 | Qazim Laci · Rizespor |
| 58' | ⚽ | Anderson Talisca · Fenerbahce |
| 63' | 🟨 | Qazim Laci · Rizespor |
| 63' | 🟥 | Qazim Laci · Rizespor |
| 65' | ⚽ | Marco Asensio · Fenerbahce |
| 78' | ⚽ | Youssef En-Nesyri |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 28 |
| 2 | On target | 14 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu |
| 88' | ⚽ | Archie Brown · Fenerbahce |
| coach days | 114.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1501.36 | 1815.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.10 | 24.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 1.94 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 15.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 15.23 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 19.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 0.68 |
| solidity v1 | -0.13 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 7.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.80 |
| squad age | — | 30.03 |
| state index | 0.01 | 1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.85 |