← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 23, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Ali Yilmaz, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Kocaelispor win | 23% | 4.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Goztep −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Karol Linetty · Kocaelispor |
| 44' | 🟨 | Botond Balogh · Kocaelispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Novatus Miroshi · Goztep |
| 45' | 🟨 | Habib Keita · Kocaelispor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ruan · Goztep |
| 83' | 🟨 | Show · Kocaelispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu |
| coach days | 753.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1606.74 | 1518.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.28 | 35.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | — |
| league points | 28.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.20 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 14.77 | 13.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.57 | -0.46 |
| solidity v1 | -0.16 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.85 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.05 |