← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Cihan Aydin, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Karagumruk win | 26% | 3.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 66' | ⚽ | Emre Akbaba · Eyupspor |
| 70' | 🟨 | Umut Bozok · Eyupspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Johnson · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matías Kranevitter · Karagumruk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Matías Kranevitter · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eyupspor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu |
| coach days | 113.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1453.68 | 1439.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.17 | -6.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.69 |
| league points | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 12.88 | 13.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 0.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -0.61 |
| solidity v1 | 0.30 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | -0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.88 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.30 |