← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Mehmet Turkmen, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 40% | 2.48 |
| Gaziantep win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Gaziantep +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bayo · Gaziantep |
| 52' | 🟨 | Aaron Opoku · Kayserispor |
| 60' | 🟨 | Arda Kızıldağ · Gaziantep |
| 64' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bayo · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Kadir Has Stadium |
| coach days | 113.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1495.96 | 1524.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.18 | 12.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 1.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 12.77 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 1.16 |
| solidity v1 | -1.97 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| squad age | — | 31.06 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.27 | 1.34 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.83 |