← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 9, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasin Kol, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 3.90 |
| Eyupspor win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Eyupspor −0.75 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Emre Kılınç · Samsunspor |
| 29' | 🟨 | Yalçın Kayan · Eyupspor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Cherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Taras Stepanenko · Eyupspor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Nihad Mujakić · Eyupspor |
| 85' | ⚽ | Toni Borevković · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 2 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 14 | Corners | 0 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Eyupspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu |
| coach days | 100.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1619.09 | 1458.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.71 | 5.50 |
| eye test v1 | 1.06 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.79 |
| league points | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 2.97 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 0.42 |
| solidity v1 | 1.22 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.93 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.43 | 1.38 |