← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 9, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Ozan Ergun, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 81% | 1.13 |
| Draw | 12% | 7.50 |
| Kayserispor win | 7% | 13.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −2 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Fenerbahce −2 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.36 |
| Under | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Carlos Mané · Kayserispor |
| 31' | 🟨 | Youssef Aït Bennasser · Kayserispor |
| 38' | ⚽ | Marco Asensio · Fenerbahce |
| 40' | ⚽ | Nene Dorgeles · Fenerbahce |
| 46' | 🟨 | Nélson Semedo · Fenerbahce |
| 50' | ⚽ | Nene Dorgeles · Fenerbahce |
| 53' | ⚽ | German Onugkha · Kayserispor |
| 63' | ⚽ | Kerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahce |
| 74' | ⚽ | German Onugkha · Kayserispor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Aaron Opoku · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 28 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu |
| coach days | 131.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1812.35 | 1499.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.57 | -4.11 |
| eye test v1 | 1.85 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.70 |
| league points | 26.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 2.88 | 7.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| solidity v1 | 0.64 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 9.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.99 | — |
| state index | 1.31 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 1.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.94 | 1.65 |