← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Adnan Deniz Kayatepe, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 37% | 2.45 |
| Konyaspor win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +0 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Konyaspor +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Serginho · Karagumruk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Enis Bardhi · Konyaspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | David Datro Fofana · Karagumruk |
| 80' | 🟨 | Daniel Johnson · Karagumruk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ivo Grbić · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jo Jin-ho · Konyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 69.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 4.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1423.50 | 1516.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.21 | -33.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| league points | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 5.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.29 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 0.59 |
| solidity v1 | -2.16 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| state index | -1.21 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.13 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 1.23 |