← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Yilmaz, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Besiktas win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Besiktas +0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Kerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahce |
| 5' | ⚽ | El Bilal Touré · Besiktas |
| 22' | ⚽ | Emirhan Topçu · Besiktas |
| 26' | 🟥 | Orkun Kökçü · Besiktas |
| 32' | ⚽ | İsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahce |
| 35' | 🟨 | Nélson Semedo · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Marco Asensio · Fenerbahce |
| 68' | 🟨 | Edson Álvarez · Fenerbahce |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jhon Durán · Fenerbahce |
| 83' | ⚽ | Jhon Durán · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emirhan Topçu |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 23 |
| 3 | On target | 11 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Tupras Stadium |
| 90' | 🟨 | İsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahce |
| coach days | 305.00 | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1616.98 | 1807.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.72 | 18.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | 1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.85 |
| league points | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 2.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.34 |
| solidity v1 | 1.25 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 9.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 29.61 | 29.48 |
| state index | 0.29 | 1.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.07 | 1.77 |